The Brahmaputra River, a vital source of livelihood for an estimated 130 million people across its basin, faces escalating water security risks driven by climate change, infrastructure development, and geopolitical contestation. Recent literature highlights that power asymmetries and a lack of transparency have securitised water issues, with infrastructure projects—such as China's announced mega-dam near the Great Bend—serving as a means of territorial and symbolic control. While conflict risk is low, the dam announcement in late 2024 has renewed urgency for formalised arrangements.
Climate change, manifested through erratic rainfall and glacier melt, increases the frequency of floods and riverbank erosion, severely impacting highly vulnerable communities (e.g., in Assam). The implementation of adaptive climate plans is often stalled by institutional and funding deficits. To counter these challenges, experts propose an integrated basin management framework that emphasizes cross-border cooperation, benefit-sharing, and ecosystem conservation. Ultimately, the path forward requires transparent data sharing, depoliticized dialogue facilitated by neutral platforms, and participatory governance that integrates local knowledge.
“”Importantly, renewed urgency and international attention have followed China’s announcement in late December 2024 of its intent to build a large dam on the Brahmaputra in Tibet. This development has intensified concerns in India and Bangladesh over water flow disruptions, ecological stability, and regional security.
Research Intern, MRC